ELECTIONS

Who will win the presidential race on November 3rd? It’s anyone’s guess

Nov 2, 2020, 7:18 AM

Biden Trump Split attack ads electoral college lead...

President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. Credit: Getty Images via CNN

PROVO, Utah  — Political analysts across the country are not sure who will win the presidential race on November 3rd. Regardless of who wins, they all think that it will be close.  

BYU Political Science Professor Adam Dynes says many states are doing their elections mostly by mail-in ballots for the first time. 

“I think the laws on the books [in those states] say they can’t even start processing those mail-in ballots until after all of the polling closes,” Dynes says. “As anyone in Utah has seen in past elections, it can still take a while before you get all the results in, especially in a close election.”  

There will also be a lot of votes to count. 

“Early voting turnout is very high…That makes it, I think, also hard to predict who is going to turn out, if turnout is higher than normal,” Dynes says.   

Fellow BYU Political Science Professor Richard Davis says there are a lot of undecided voters, even this late in the game. 

“You’re going to have huge numbers on November 3rd,” Davis says. “The polls are reflecting that uncertainty.” 

In 2016, those polls gave Democrat Hillary Clinton a slight edge in several swing states heading into the election. Instead, Republican Donald Trump ended up winning in several of them. 

That led many people to question the accuracy of the polls. 

However, both Davis and Dynes says the polls were not as inaccurate as most people believe.

All were within the margin of error, and they say it happens a lot in close elections that the candidate who was behind pulls slightly ahead. 

Dynes says part of the reason polls can be off is pollsters are trying to figure out just who will show up to vote. 

“There’s a bias towards people saying they’re going to vote, even if they actually aren’t because they kinda feel like that’s what they’re supposed to say,” Dynes says. 

Dynes and Davis give former Vice President Joe Biden the edge right now but say it’s anyone’s guess who is going to win on November 3rd. 

But there is also a possibility lawyers could decide the election. 

“The polls are very close in Ohio. They’re close in Wisconsin, they’re close in Iowa, they’re close in North Carolina. So, anyone of those states could potentially be the source of legal action,” Davis says.


Your Voice, Your Vote | 2020 Election Guide

We want to hear from you.

Have a story idea or tip? Send it to the KSL NewsRadio team here.

Elections

Senate candidates Brad Wilson, John Curtis, Jason Walton and Brent Orrin Hatch....

Heather Peterson

The race to fill Mitt Romney’s senate seat is getting expensive

The senate candidates vying for Mitt Romney's seat are forking over a lot of money ahead of this month's state conventions.

6 days ago

Republican presidential candidate, former President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally....

Josh Boak and Jonathan J. Cooper

Trump goes after the judge and prosecutors in his hush money case in last rally before trial begins

Former President Donald Trump spoke about his hush money case at his most recent rally before the trial begins on Monday.

8 days ago

political text messages...

Michael Camit

Dodging political scammers during election year

During elections years, political scammers will target voters to try to get their personal information warns the BBB.

24 days ago

Former President Donald Trump, speaks to reporters as he leaves the courtroom during a lunch break ...

ERIC TUCKER, ALANNA DURKIN RICHER and TERRY SPENCER

Judge rejects Trump’s bid to throw out classified documents case

A federal judge on Thursday rejected a bid by Donald Trump to throw out out his classified documents criminal case.

1 month ago

Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump arrives at a campaign rally Saturda...

JILL COLVIN Associated Press

Trump wins delegates needed to become GOP’s presumptive nominee for third straight election

With wins in Georgia, Mississippi and Washington state, Trump surpassed the 1,215-delegate threshold needed to become the presumptive Republican nominee.

1 month ago

President Joe Biden speaks in Columbia, S.C., Jan. 27, 2024....

ZEKE MILLER AP White House Correspondent

President Joe Biden has won enough delegates to clinch the 2024 Democratic nomination

President Joe Biden, clinched a second straight Democratic nomination Tuesday and set up an all-but-certain rematch with Donald Trump

1 month ago

Sponsored Articles

Young couple hugging while a realtor in a suit hands them keys in a new home...

Utah Association of Realtors

Buying a home this spring? Avoid these 5 costly pitfalls

By avoiding these pitfalls when buying a home this spring, you can ensure your investment will be long-lasting and secure.

a person dressed up as a nordic viking in a dragon boat resembling the bear lake monster...

Bear Lake Convention and Visitors Bureau

The Legend of the Bear Lake Monster

The Bear Lake monster has captivated people in the region for centuries, with tales that range from the believable to the bizarre.

...

Live Nation Concerts

All the artists coming to Utah First Credit Union Amphitheatre (formerly USANA Amp) this summer

Summer concerts are more than just entertainment; they’re a celebration of life, love, and connection.

Mother and cute toddler child in a little fancy wooden cottage, reading a book, drinking tea and en...

Visit Bear Lake

How to find the best winter lodging in Bear Lake, Utah

Winter lodging in Bear Lake can be more limited than in the summer, but with some careful planning you can easily book your next winter trip.

Happy family in winter clothing at the ski resort, winter time, watching at mountains in front of t...

Visit Bear Lake

Ski more for less: Affordable ski resorts near Bear Lake, Utah

Plan your perfect ski getaway in Bear Lake this winter, with pristine slopes, affordable tickets, and breathtaking scenery.

front of the Butch Cassidy museum with a man in a cowboy hat standing in the doorway...

Bear Lake Convention and Visitors Bureau

Looking Back: The History of Bear Lake

The history of Bear Lake is full of fascinating stories. At over 250,000 years old, the lake has seen generations of people visit its shores.

Who will win the presidential race on November 3rd? It’s anyone’s guess