U of U projection: Utah population 5.4 million by 2060

Jan 19, 2022, 11:56 AM
population million...
Chart from the U of U's Gardner Institute shows Utah's population reaching 5.4 million in 2060, even as the rate of growth is slowing down. (Photo: Gardner Institute)
(Photo: Gardner Institute)

SALT LAKE CITY — A new report shows that although Utah’s long-term growth rate is slowing, the population could increase by 2 million in the next few decades.

The Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute at the University of Utah released a recent report on Utah’s population growth. The report shows the state’s population could reach 3.8 million people by 2030 and 5.4 million by 2060. But that represents a slowing in the long-term growth rate compared to previous decades.

Mallory Bateman, the institute’s Director of Demographic Research, says the trend of population growth appears to be going down.

Immense population growth expected, even as growth rate slows

“We were the fastest-growing state,” she told reporters Wednesday morning, “Nationwide, this past decade was the slowest growth rate since the 1930’s.”

Over the next four decades, the proportion of Utahns over 65 years old is expected to double, from about 11% of the population today to more than 22% in 2060.

Birth rates in Utah have also been going down, but Senior Demographer Emily Harris said we still expect to have a lot of kids, especially in the short term.

“What we’re anticipating, probably in the next ten years,” she said, “is, even as fertility rates decline, we will still have a large concentration of people in child-bearing ages.”

Population growth by county

The report also projects strong economic growth in the coming decades, with much of that concentrated in Salt Lake County.

population million

Population growth projections by county. Photo: Kem C.Gardner Policy Institute, 2020–2060 Projections

“So if you look at Salt Lake and Utah County,” said Senior Research Associate Max Backlund, “you can see that Utah County is the leader for population growth, but it still trails Salt Lake County for employment growth by about 200,000 jobs.”

Salt Lake and Summit counties are the only two in the state where the number of new jobs is expected to exceed total population growth.

The report is available on the Gardner Institute website.

Other stories:

We want to hear from you.

Have a story idea or tip? Send it to the KSL NewsRadio team here.

Today’s Top Stories

All News

interest rate...
Curt Gresseth

Interest rate ticks up. Time to tame your debt.

The chief financial analyst for joins the show to talk about the rising interest rate and how you can get out from under the debt you have accumulated.
18 hours ago
Utah Sen. Mike Lee has joined an effort to make concealed carry permits in Utah viable in any state...
Aimee Cobabe

Utah senator joins other senators in support of concealed-carry reciprocity

The Reciprocity Act would ensure that a concealed-carry permit would be valid in Utah and other states where concealed carry permits are allowed.
18 hours ago
Hugo Rikard-Bell

Dozens rally at Utah’s capitol for transgender health care Wednesday

Crowds of people rallied at the capitol building to protest the legislature's ban on transgender related health care for minors.
18 hours ago
Utah is on the verge of temporarily pausing its personalized license plate program once again. The ...
Carter Williams

Utah House passes moratorium on personalized license plates for 2nd straight year

H.B. 26 would place a two-year moratorium on the personalized license plate program while also tweaking the how certain plates are created.
18 hours ago

Utah mom shares grocery budgeting tips

Lisa Park, a mother of three from Stansbury Park, has perfected her strategy over the last decade. Now with increasing food prices, it’s paying off, and she’s saved a fortune.
18 hours ago
A building on Hill Air Force Base was evacuated on Thursday morning. The smell was reportedly detec...
Simone Seikaly

Building at Hill Air Force Base evacuated due to “unusual smell”

An official said that an "undetermined number of people" in the building opted going to a hospital as a precaution.
18 hours ago

Sponsored Articles

Banner with Cervical Cancer Awareness Realistic Ribbon...
Intermountain Health

Five Common Causes of Cervical Cancer – and What You Can Do to Lower Your Risk

January is National Cervical Cancer Awareness month and cancer experts at Intermountain Health are working to educate women about cervical cancer, the tests that can warn women about potential cancer, and the importance of vaccination.
Kid holding a cisco fish at winterfest...
Bear Lake Convention and Visitors Bureau

Get Ready for Fun at the 2023 Bear Lake Monster Winterfest

The Bear Lake Monster Winterfest is an annual weekend event jam-packed full of fun activities the whole family can enjoy. This year the event will be held from January 27-29 at the Utah Bear Lake State Park Marina and Sunrise Resort and Event Center in Garden City, Utah. 
happy friends with sparklers at christmas dinner...

15 Easy Christmas Dinner Ideas

We’ve scoured the web for you and narrowed down a few of our favorite Christmas dinner ideas to make your planning easy. Choose from the dishes we’ve highlighted to plan your meal or start brainstorming your own meal plan a couple of weeks before to make sure you have time to shop and prepare.
Spicy Homemade Loaded Taters Tots...

5 Game Day Snacks for the Whole Family (with recipes!)

Try these game day snacks to make watching football at home with your family feel like a special occasion. 
Happy joyful smiling casual satisfied woman learning and communicates in sign language online using...

The Best Tools for Deaf and Hard-of-Hearing Workplace Success

Here are some of the best resources to make your workplace work better for Deaf and hard-of-hearing employees.
Team supporters celebrating at a tailgate party...

8 Delicious Tailgate Foods That Require Zero Prep Work

In a hurry? These 8 tailgate foods take zero prep work, so you can fuel up and get back to what matters most: getting hyped for your favorite
U of U projection: Utah population 5.4 million by 2060